Israel Weighs Major Gaza Offensive Amid Rising Tensions

Israel is reportedly considering a large-scale ground offensive in Gaza, potentially deploying tens of thousands of troops to clear and occupy extensive areas of the enclave. According to sources familiar with the matter, this move is one of several military strategies under review as Israel increases pressure on Hamas while aiming to secure the release of hostages without negotiating an end to the conflict.

Diplomatic efforts by Egypt and Qatar to mediate a ceasefire have gained momentum in recent days. Some sources suggest that the possibility of an expanded ground campaign is being used as a strategic bargaining tool to push Hamas into negotiations on Israel’s terms. Israeli officials have previously indicated that hostilities would cease if Hamas agrees to release more captives.

Military Preparations and Strategic Considerations

The Israeli military, under the leadership of its recently appointed and assertive Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, has been preparing for an intensified operation in Gaza. Former National Security Council head Eyal Hulata emphasized that if negotiations fail, resuming combat remains the only viable alternative.

Past ground incursions have often resulted in brief military engagements, with Israeli forces withdrawing shortly after securing targeted areas. However, without a long-term troop presence or an alternative governance structure, Hamas has frequently re-established control. One emerging strategy involves Israeli forces securing and maintaining control over substantial parts of Gaza to prevent the group’s resurgence. If implemented, this could mean prolonged occupation and an ongoing counterinsurgency effort, potentially involving as many as 50,000 troops.

Escalation as a Negotiation Tactic

Analysts suggest that Israel’s military escalation serves a dual purpose—pressuring Hamas while preparing for a possible prolonged engagement. Israel Ziv, a retired general with extensive military experience, noted that while military threats can be effective, they also carry significant risks. If Israel commits to a full-scale offensive, it may find itself engaged in prolonged conflict with uncertain outcomes.

Already, Israel has begun advancing strategic ground maneuvers, reclaiming sections of the Netzarim corridor—a vital area dividing northern Gaza from the rest of the territory. Troops have also been deployed to key locations in both northern and southern Gaza to solidify control.

Public Sentiment and Political Implications

While Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains committed to dismantling Hamas’s governance and military capabilities, public sentiment in Israel is divided. A growing segment of the population favors a negotiated agreement to secure the safe return of hostages rather than an extended military campaign.

A recent poll indicated that a majority of Israelis supported a deal to end the war in exchange for hostage releases. Families of captives have also voiced concerns that renewed military action could further endanger their loved ones. However, members of Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition continue to advocate for an aggressive military approach over diplomatic negotiations.

Additionally, Israel’s decision to restrict humanitarian aid deliveries to Gaza since early March has intensified the crisis in the region. While some hardline political figures support further territorial expansion, others argue that long-term occupation is not in Israel’s best interest at this time.

Uncertain Path Forward

The potential large-scale offensive in Gaza remains a critical issue, with military and political leaders weighing the risks of extended occupation against the need to maintain pressure on Hamas. Defense Minister Israel Katz recently signaled that Israel could seize additional territories if Hamas resists negotiations. However, with international attention focused on the humanitarian toll of the conflict, the path forward remains uncertain.

As Israel continues to escalate its military presence, the question remains—will this strategy lead to a decisive outcome, or will it entangle the region in an even more protracted and complex conflict?